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Discussion Paper

Hearing the Voice of the Future: Trump vs Clinton

Published: March 2019
Author(s): Yusuke Narita
Professor Narita examines the impact of decreasing birth rates and aging populations on outcomes of political elections.

Using a model that weights votes based on age, Professor Narita analyzes the 2016 U.S. presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. He finds that, when weighting by life-expectancy, the 2016 election results favor Hillary Clinton.

Abstract and Citation