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Research

The Tobin Center supports policy-relevant research across Yale and beyond through the Pre-Doctoral Fellows Program, seed funding, and various forms of in-kind support. Tobin-supported research spans all of our main initiatives, from Health Policy to Climate, and also includes exploratory economics research projects with potential policy applications.

Abstract

Following the advent of Amazon Web Services (AWS) in 2006, the cost of starting a new business substantially decreased, leading venture capital firms to adapt their investment approach. The authors analyze why investors are increasingly adopting the “spray and pray” investment approach in early stages, provide limited governance, and prefer businesses where the future potential is revealed quickly and cheaply. Additionally, they use the technological shock of AWS to explain the rise of new financial intermediaries such as accelerators.

Abstract

How does price salience, or when fees are listed more clearly upfront, affect the quantity and quality of the product purchased? In this paper, the authors use a dataset from the online ticketing platform StubHub to show the effects of hiding buyer fees until the checkout page on consumer decisions for product choice, total revenue, and possible forces that might influence salience.

Abstract

Brave is an open-source, privacy-focused browser that blocks third-party ads and is able to load pages twice as fast as Chrome or Firefox. It was founded in 2015 by the creator of Javascript and the Mozilla Project. This summary explains how Brave operates a decentralized digital ad-exchange using its own cryptocurrency, the Basic Attention Token (BAT). The BAT ecosystem rewards users for viewing ads, funds advertisers, and helps make the user attention market more transparent and efficient.

Abstract

The goal of antitrust policy is to protect and promote a vigorous competitive process. Effective rivalry spurs firms to introduce new and innovative products, as they seek to capture profitable sales from their competitors and to protect their existing sales from future challengers. In this fundamental way, competition promotes innovation. We apply this basic insight to the antitrust treatment of horizontal mergers and of exclusionary conduct by dominant firms. A merger between rivals internalizes business-stealing effects arising from their parallel innovation efforts and thus tends to depress innovation incentives. Merger-specific synergies, such as the internalization of involuntary spillovers or an increase in the productivity of R&D, may offset the adverse effect of a merger on innovation. We describe the possible effects of a merger on innovation by developing a taxonomy of cases, with reference to recent US and EU examples. A dominant firm may engage in exclusionary conduct to eliminate the threat from disruptive firms. This suppresses innovation by foreclosing disruptive rivals and by reducing the pressure to innovative on the incumbent. We apply this broad principle to possible exclusionary strategies by dominant firms.

Abstract

The more information a monopolist seller has about consumer preferences, the more power it has to price selectively and maximize profits. This paper analyzes the welfare consequences of price discrimination via market segmentation. The authors use formal mathematical arguments to show that a market can be segmented to produce all feasible surplus combinations. They conclude that consumer welfare can be prioritized through the proper structuring of information transmission and data collection.

Discussion Paper
Abstract

The Yale Labor Survey (YLS) uses online panels to estimate the state of the US labor market in real time. It is designed to parallel the US government’s monthly labor force survey and present weekly information rapidly and inexpensively. Using an experimental design, the YLS estimates that the US unemployment rate peaked in late April and improved substantially by mid-June. The YLS unemployment rate in mid-June is estimated to be 15%, down about 2 percentage points from mid-May.

Abstract

For search engine giants like Google, advertising is their primary source of profits. This paper explores what happens to these profits when advertisers let intermediary companies bid in ad auctions on their behalf. The authors discuss strategies that intermediaries employ to distort and coordinate bids. Using a novel market definition and approach to analyzing intermediary concentration, the authors show that intermediaries may be powerful countervailing forces against Google’s market dominance.

Abstract

DuckDuckGo is a search engine that prioritizes user privacy. It does not store user data and is free to use as a browser extension or mobile app. DuckDuckGo currently processes over 60 million search queries a day. In comparison, Google processes over 3.5 billion search queries a day. As of June 2020, DuckDuckGo had a share of approximately 1.5% in the market for search engines. This summary describes how DuckDuckGo works, its business model, competitors, and implications for innovation and competition policy.